golden globe predictions

so this isn't a "deep" or "insightful" blog. just how i think the golden globes are going to turn out.

granted, i haven't seen quite a few of the movies that're nominated, but given the films' reputations and the elitist/predictable behavior of the golden globes/critics, i think i can come up with a relatively accurate list of shoe-ins/winners (for the film part). so here we go:

best motion picture - drama
probably either Eastern Promises or No Country for Old Men. i'm leaning towards the latter, but who knows? for some odd reason Eastern Promises (which looks like a Russian twist on A History of Violence) has been getting a ton of attention and critical acclaim.

best motion picture - musical or comedy
i'm hoping for Juno, but Sweeney Todd's been getting a lot of attention. i'm thinking it'll go to Juno, the little indie that could. but that could just be wishful thinking. given Tim Burton's reputation and already well-established career, it might just shut Juno out.

best performance by an actor in a motion picture - drama
either George Clooney or Viggo Mortensen. probably George Clooney.

best performance by an actress in a motion picture - drama
this one's tough - as far as i know, there hasn't been a real standout performance in this category. i'm leaning towards either Cate Blanchett or Julie Christie. it'll probably go to Julie Christie, given the horrible reviews Blanchett's film received.

best performance by an actor in a motion picture - musical or comedy
i actually really hate that drama gets its own category while musical or comedy are grouped together. really says something about how the critics prioritize. in my opinion, comedy is just as commendable as drama when done correctly/effectively. but whatever. i think this one's going to go to either Ryan Gosling or Johnny Depp. as Johnny Depp did his own singing and everything, it'll probably go to him. although, Charlie Wilson's War is controversial and whatever, so Tom Hanks might very well stand a chance. in other words, i have no real idea...just a guesstimation.

best performance by an actress in a motion picture - musical or comedy
Marion Cotillard. i mean, i'm totally rooting for Ellen Page, but as La Vie En Rose is far more dramatic than Juno, and as the critics tend to favor drama for really idiotic reasons, i'm thinking the globe'll go to Cotillard. not that she doesn't deserve it, but i really do think Page unceremoniously and unapologetically kicked ass as Juno. but whatever.

best performance by an actor in a supporting role in a motion picture
either Casey Affleck or Javier Bardem. No Country for Old Men was given way more clout than The Assassination of Jesse James by the Coward Robert Ford, so Bardem might have an edge, but Affleck's performance was supposed to be something of a revelation.

best performance by an actress in a supporting role in a motion picture
(have you noticed that they split up musical and comedy and drama for everything else except supporting roles?) either Cate Blanchett or Amy Ryan. it'll probably go to Cate Blanchett just because she, you know, played a dude.

best director - motion picture
(they also don't split this award up. way to go.) Julian Schnabel could very well be the dark horse in this race, as The Diving Bell and the Butterfly is supposed to be amazing (it's on my films-to-see list), however the Coens could very well be the shoe-in.

best screenplay - motion picture
either The Diving Bell and the Butterfly or Juno. i'm thinking/hoping for Juno. this is the year of the unexpected indie.

best original song - motion picture
Enchanted. just because.

best original score - motion picture
Atonement by Dario Marianelli. this guy's a genius. if i ever compose music, i hope to have half his genius/talent. it's been getting rave reviews because of his use of the typewriter as an instrument. definitely no competition here.

best animated film
ratatouille. because it's snooty. and also, Pixar.

best foreign language film
The Diving Bell and the Butterfly or Se Jie.


and that's it! maybe i'll post again within the next couple of days with something more personal...

or maybe i'll forget...